An Automated Vehicle Expert Explains How Close We Are to Robotaxis

There’s Still Plenty of Work To Do

Sam Abuelsamid
Debugger
Published in
14 min readFeb 4, 2021

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Image: Cruise

Humans are notoriously bad at estimating how long it will take to do something that hasn’t been done before, particularly when it comes to technology that doesn’t exist yet. Amara’s Law sums it up most succinctly: “We overestimate the effect of technology in the short-term and underestimate the…

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Sam Abuelsamid
Debugger

Sam is a principal analyst leading Guidehouse Insights’ e-Mobility Research Service covering automated driving, electrification and mobility services